Paper 2: The UK Economy – Performance and Policies · 8EC0/02

Edexcel A AS Paper 2, November 2020

All 16 written questions and 5 multiple choice questions from Edexcel A AS Paper 2 (November 2020), The UK Economy – Performance and Policies. Case studies: UK government budget and household consumption. Each question shows its marks and topic, with an examiner insight on 6, and opens the question paper and mark scheme at the right page.

Summer exams were cancelled, so this paper was sat in the autumn series. The paper itself is headed with the original May date.

Section A

Q2(c)1 mark
Which one of the following is an example of a market-based supply-side policy?
  1. AA reduction in unemployment benefits
  2. BConstruction of new transportation links
  3. CGovernment-funded apprenticeship schemes
  4. DIncreased government spending on healthcare
Show the answer

The answer is A.

TopicAggregate demandMacroeconomic objectives and policy

Q3(a)1 mark
Which one of the following can be inferred from the above chart over the period shown?
  1. AThe government was spending more than it received in taxation
  2. BThe UK’s balance of trade, by value, was always in equilibrium
  3. CThe value of imports was greater than the value of exports
  4. DThe value of inflows was greater than the value of outflows
Show the answer

The answer is C.

Q3(b)Explain3 marks
Explain one likely reason for the UK’s balance of trade in goods and services over the period shown. Refer to the chart on page 6 in your answer.
Mark splitKnowledge 1Application 1Analysis 1

Section B

Case study

UK government budget and household consumption

Extracts: A: UK household consumption · B: Reduction of the UK’s budget deficit

In the extracts: Crown, Bank, GDP, UK Chancellor, Subsequently, Reduction, Exchequer, Guardian, British, England

Q6(b)Explain5 marks
Explain the likely effect of a fall in the exchange rate of the British pound on aggregate demand. Refer to Extract A in your answer.
Mark splitKnowledge 1Application 2Analysis 2

TopicAggregate demand

Examiner insight

What to cover
A weaker pound makes UK exports cheaper abroad and imports dearer at home. Export demand rises and import spending may fall, so net trade improves and AD rises. Refer to Extract A.
Watch out
A falling pound raises import prices; reversing the SPICED relationship loses the analysis marks.
Q6(c)Explain6 marks
With reference to Figure 2 and Extract A, explain two likely influences on the level of UK real household consumption.
Mark splitKnowledge 2Application 2Analysis 2

TopicAggregate demand

Examiner insight

What to cover
Give two developed influences using Figure 2 and Extract A, such as real disposable income, interest rates and borrowing costs, consumer confidence, or housing wealth.
Watch out
Consumption here is real, so treat price changes only through their effect on real income.
Q6(d)Assess10 marks
Assess the likely impact on the UK economy of an ‘increase in consumption’ (Extract A, lines 5–6). Use an aggregate demand and aggregate supply diagram in your answer.
Mark splitKnowledge 2Application 2Analysis 2Evaluation 4

TopicAggregate demandAggregate supply

Examiner insight

What to cover
Consumption is the largest component of AD, so a rise shifts AD right. The multiplier raises real GDP, employment and tax revenue, with upward pressure on the price level.
Diagram
AD/AS: AD shifts right. Label price level, real GDP and both equilibria.
Evaluation
Depends on spare capacity, the size of the multiplier, how much is spent on imports, and the inflation risk. A falling saving ratio and more debt may make the rise short lived.
Watch out
A rise in consumption shifts AD to the right; it does not cause a movement along AD.
Q6(e)Discuss15 marks
Discuss the factors that might explain why ‘the UK’s forecast long-term trend rate of growth was reduced’ (Extract B lines 9–10).
Mark splitKnowledge 3Application 3Analysis 3Evaluation 6

TopicAggregate demandMacroeconomic objectives and policyMeasures of economic performance

Examiner insight

What to cover
Trend growth depends on LRAS, so explain weak productivity, low investment, slower labour force growth, skills gaps and lasting damage from the pandemic. Use Extract B.
Diagram
AD/AS: LRAS shifts left or grows more slowly. Label real GDP and the price level. A PPF shifting inwards is an acceptable alternative.
Evaluation
Judge which factor matters most and how reliable a long run forecast is. Depends on whether weak productivity is permanent, on the investment response and on the time period.
Watch out
Trend growth is about long run supply, so do not explain it with short run falls in AD.
Q6(f)OptionalEvaluate20 marks
Evaluate supply-side policies that could be used to increase the UK’s rate of economic growth.
Mark splitKnowledge 4Application 4Analysis 6Evaluation 6

TopicEconomic growthMacroeconomic objectives and policy

Examiner insight

What to cover
Choose market-based and interventionist policies such as tax cuts, deregulation, infrastructure spending and training. Show each raising productivity and the quantity or quality of factors, shifting LRAS right.
Diagram
AD/AS: LRAS shifts right with AD unchanged. Label the higher real GDP and the lower price level.
Evaluation
Weigh long time lags, high cost and uncertain success against lasting non-inflationary growth. Depends on the cause of weak UK growth, on the opportunity cost of the spending and on demand being strong enough.
Watch out
Demand-side policies do not answer this question; effects must work through LRAS and productivity.
Q6(g)OptionalEvaluate20 marks
Evaluate the likely macroeconomic effects of the UK government pursuing a policy of reducing its budget deficit.
Mark splitKnowledge 4Application 4Analysis 6Evaluation 6

TopicMacroeconomic objectives and policy

Examiner insight

What to cover
Lower government spending or higher taxes is contractionary fiscal policy. AD shifts left, so the reverse multiplier cuts real GDP and employment, while inflation and debt interest fall.
Diagram
AD/AS: AD shifts left. Label the fall in real GDP and the fall in the price level.
Evaluation
Depends on the multiplier, the stage of the cycle, whether private investment is crowded in, and market confidence in UK debt. Cutting capital spending also weakens LRAS.
Watch out
Keep deficit and debt separate; a smaller deficit still adds to the national debt.

Question text is quoted from the question papers, © Pearson Edexcel, for students’ private study. Open the official papers and mark schemes from the links on each question. Examiner insights are written with AI assistance and moderated by Finn.