Paper 2: The UK Economy – Performance and Policies · 8EC0/02

Edexcel A AS Paper 2, June 2017

All 15 written questions and 5 multiple choice questions from Edexcel A AS Paper 2 (June 2017), The UK Economy – Performance and Policies. Case studies: UK economic recovery. Each question shows its marks and topic, with an examiner insight on 6, and opens the question paper and mark scheme at the right page.

Section A

Q3(a)1 mark
Which one of the following can be inferred from the chart?
  1. AThe UK’s real GDP is smaller in 2014 than it was in 2008
  2. BBetween 2008 and 2014 France’s real GDP growth rate was higher
  3. CBetween 2008 and 2014 inflation was lower in France than in the UK
  4. DFrance experienced a greater fall in real GDP than the UK in 2014
Show the answer

The answer is B.

TopicMeasures of economic performance

Section B

Case study

UK economic recovery

Extracts: A: The UK economy – a strange recovery

In the extracts: GDP, PPPs, Chancellor, Exports, Germany, Country Consumption Investment, Purchasing Power Parities, Global Financial Crisis, France Germany United, Office for Budget

Q6(b)10 marks
With reference to the information provided and your own knowledge, assess the likely causes of the UK’s trade deficit.
Mark splitKnowledge 2Application 2Analysis 2Evaluation 4

TopicMeasures of economic performance

Examiner insight

What to cover
Give causes such as weak relative productivity and competitiveness, a strong pound, strong domestic demand pulling in imports, and weak demand in export markets. Link each to the data.
Evaluation
Weigh which cause matters most. The effect depends on the price elasticity of demand for exports and imports, and on whether the cause is cyclical or structural. Judge.
Watch out
Confusing the trade deficit on the current account with a government budget deficit.
Q6(c)Explain5 marks
With reference to Extract A, paragraph 2, explain one likely influence on UK investment.
Mark splitKnowledge 1Application 2Analysis 2

TopicAggregate demand

Examiner insight

What to cover
Take one influence from Extract A paragraph 2, such as business confidence, interest rates or expected demand. Explain the chain from it to the expected return on capital and then to investment.
Watch out
Listing several influences briefly rather than explaining one in a full chain of reasoning.
Q6(d)Explain6 marks
With reference to Figure 2 and Extract A, explain two likely reasons why the growth of the UK’s nominal GDP per capita at PPPs was slower than that of Germany after 2010.
Mark splitKnowledge 2Application 2Analysis 2

TopicMeasures of economic performance

Examiner insight

What to cover
Use Figure 2 and Extract A. Give two reasons, such as weaker UK productivity growth and faster UK population growth, which spreads output over more people.
Watch out
Comparing total GDP growth when the measure is GDP per capita at purchasing power parity.
Q6(e)Evaluate15 marks
Evaluate policies the government could use to increase the UK’s productivity.
Mark splitKnowledge 3Application 3Analysis 3Evaluation 6

TopicMeasures of economic performanceAggregate demandEconomic growth

Examiner insight

What to cover
Cover supply side policies such as investment in education and training, infrastructure spending, tax incentives for capital investment and support for research. Explain how each raises output per worker.
Diagram
Aggregate demand and aggregate supply with LRAS shifting right, showing higher potential output and a lower price level.
Evaluation
Weigh long time lags and the opportunity cost of the spending against lasting productivity gains. Results depend on the quality of training and whether firms actually invest. Judge.
Watch out
Offering demand side policies such as an interest rate cut when the aim is higher productivity.
Q6(f)OptionalEvaluate20 marks
Evaluate the benefits of economic growth to the UK given that ‘a number of concerns remain’ in the UK economy (Extract A, line 7).
Mark splitKnowledge 4Application 4Analysis 6Evaluation 6

TopicEconomic growth

Examiner insight

What to cover
Explain how growth raises real incomes, employment, profits and tax revenue, using the UK recovery in Extract A. Show AD or LRAS rising and the multiplier spreading the gain.
Diagram
AD/AS: AD shifts right, or LRAS shifts right. Label price level, real GDP, initial and new equilibrium.
Evaluation
Weigh the benefits against demand-pull inflation, wider inequality, a bigger current account deficit and pollution. Depends on spare capacity and on whether growth is demand led or supply led.
Watch out
Do not simply list benefits; the remaining UK concerns in Extract A must drive the judgement.
Q6(g)OptionalEvaluate20 marks
Evaluate the view that another recession is ‘inevitable’ in the UK (Extract A, line 24).
Mark splitKnowledge 4Application 4Analysis 6Evaluation 6

TopicEconomic growth

Examiner insight

What to cover
Define recession as two consecutive quarters of falling real GDP. Explain triggers from Extract A such as weak confidence, falling investment, external shocks and the business cycle lowering AD.
Diagram
AD/AS: AD shifts left. Label the fall in real GDP, the lower price level and the negative output gap.
Evaluation
Weigh against policy that can prevent one: rate cuts, fiscal stimulus and automatic stabilisers. Depends on the size of the shock, remaining policy room and time lags.
Watch out
Judge whether a recession is inevitable rather than just listing possible causes of one.

Question text is quoted from the question papers, © Pearson Edexcel, for students’ private study. Open the official papers and mark schemes from the links on each question. Examiner insights are written with AI assistance and moderated by Finn.