Paper 2: The UK Economy – Performance and Policies · 8EC0/02

Edexcel A AS Paper 2, June 2024

All 15 written questions and 5 multiple choice questions from Edexcel A AS Paper 2 (June 2024), The UK Economy – Performance and Policies. Case studies: UK monetary policy since the Global Financial Crisis of 2008. Each question shows its marks and topic, with an examiner insight on 6, and opens the question paper and mark scheme at the right page.

Section A

Q4(c)1 mark
Which one of the following factors might have caused business investment in the UK to fall?
  1. AA decrease in business expectations
  2. BA decrease in government regulations
  3. CAn increase in the demand for exports
  4. DAn increase in the rate of economic growth
Show the answer

The answer is A.

TopicAggregate demandEconomic growth

Section B

Case study

UK monetary policy since the Global Financial Crisis of 2008

Extracts: A: Has monetary policy worked?

In the extracts: MPC, Global Financial Crisis, Inflation, Monetary Policy Committee, Great Depression, Bank of England, USA Federal, Households, Conversely, Partington

Q6(b)Assess10 marks
Assess the likely impact of an increase in real wages on the UK economy. Use an aggregate demand and aggregate supply diagram in your answer.
Mark splitKnowledge 2Application 2Analysis 2Evaluation 4

TopicAggregate demandAggregate supply

Examiner insight

What to cover
Higher real wages raise disposable income and consumption, shifting AD right. They also raise firms' labour costs, shifting SRAS left. Show both effects on output and the price level.
Diagram
AD/AS: AD shifts right and SRAS shifts left. Label price level, real GDP and each new equilibrium.
Evaluation
The net effect depends on which shift is larger, on whether productivity growth offsets the wage cost, on spare capacity and on the time period.
Watch out
Real wages are wages adjusted for inflation, so a nominal rise below inflation is a real cut.
Q6(c)Explain6 marks
With reference to the information provided, explain two characteristics of a recession.
Mark splitKnowledge 2Application 2Analysis 2

TopicEconomic growth

Examiner insight

What to cover
Give two developed characteristics using the data, such as two consecutive quarters of falling real GDP, rising cyclical unemployment, falling investment and confidence, or a negative output gap.
Watch out
The fall must be in real GDP, and the two characteristics must be genuinely different.
Q6(d)Explain5 marks
Explain one reason why ‘the fall in the exchange rate of the British pound’ (Extract A, line 21) is likely to increase inflation.
Mark splitKnowledge 1Application 2Analysis 2

TopicMacroeconomic objectives and policyMeasures of economic performanceAggregate demand

Examiner insight

What to cover
A weaker pound raises the sterling price of imported energy, raw materials and finished goods. Firms' costs rise and they pass this on, so imported cost-push inflation follows.
Watch out
Only one reason is credited, and it must run through the higher sterling cost of imports.
Q6(e)Discuss15 marks
Discuss factors, apart from changes in real wages, which the MPC may have considered when changing the base interest rate.
Mark splitKnowledge 3Application 3Analysis 3Evaluation 6

TopicMacroeconomic objectives and policy

Examiner insight

What to cover
Set out factors the MPC weighs against the 2% CPI target: inflation expectations, the output gap and growth, unemployment and spare capacity, the exchange rate, credit growth and global conditions.
Evaluation
Judge which factors carry most weight and how reliable the forecasts are. Depends on lags of up to two years and on whether a shock looks temporary or persistent.
Watch out
The MPC hits a 2% CPI target set by the Chancellor; it does not choose the target itself.
Q6(f)OptionalEvaluate20 marks
Evaluate whether expansionary demand-side policies lead to conflicts between macroeconomic objectives.
Mark splitKnowledge 4Application 4Analysis 6Evaluation 6

TopicMacroeconomic objectives and policy

Examiner insight

What to cover
Show expansionary fiscal or monetary policy shifting AD right, raising growth and employment but risking demand-pull inflation, a wider current account deficit and a larger budget deficit.
Diagram
AD/AS: AD shifts right toward LRAS along an upward sloping SRAS. Label the rise in price level and real GDP.
Evaluation
Whether conflicts appear depends on spare capacity, the size of the stimulus and the elasticity of AS. With a large negative output gap, output can rise with little inflation.
Watch out
Name the specific objectives that clash rather than asserting that inflation must rise.
Q6(g)OptionalEvaluate20 marks
Evaluate whether the MPC has been successful in meeting the UK’s macroeconomic objectives between 2008 and 2019.
Mark splitKnowledge 4Application 4Analysis 6Evaluation 6

TopicMacroeconomic objectives and policy

Examiner insight

What to cover
Judge MPC performance from 2008 to 2019 against the 2% CPI target and the secondary aim of supporting growth and employment. Use the data on inflation, Bank Rate and quantitative easing.
Diagram
AD/AS: loose monetary policy shifts AD right after 2008. Label the price level and real GDP.
Evaluation
Weigh target misses caused by oil prices and the weaker pound against the recovery in employment. Depends on shocks outside MPC control, on policy lags and on the limits of near zero rates.
Watch out
Judge the whole 2008 to 2019 period against the target, not one year in isolation.

Question text is quoted from the question papers, © Pearson Edexcel, for students’ private study. Open the official papers and mark schemes from the links on each question. Examiner insights are written with AI assistance and moderated by Finn.