Paper 2: The UK Economy – Performance and Policies · 8EC0/02

Edexcel A AS Paper 2, June 2016

All 15 written questions and 5 multiple choice questions from Edexcel A AS Paper 2 (June 2016), The UK Economy – Performance and Policies. Case studies: UK incomes, inflation and monetary policy. Each question shows its marks and topic, with an examiner insight on 6, and opens the question paper and mark scheme at the right page.

Section A

Q4(a)1 mark
Which one of the following can be inferred from Figure 1 in the period shown?
  1. AThe total UK trade deficit was the largest in June 2013
  2. BThe trade in goods was always in surplus between January 2013 and
  3. CThe total UK trade deficit was the smallest in January 2014
  4. DThe trade in goods deficit was the smallest in June 2013
Show the answer

The answer is D.

TopicMeasures of economic performance

Section B

Case study

UK incomes, inflation and monetary policy

Extracts: A: Britons should not fear rise in interest rates · B: Deflation is bad news

In the extracts: MPC, Carney, Monetary Policy, Bank of England, Kristin Forbes, European Union, Committee, Inflation, Deflation, Consumer

Q6(b)Assess10 marks
Assess the likely impact of falling real incomes on UK consumers.
Mark splitKnowledge 2Application 2Analysis 2Evaluation 4

TopicMacroeconomic objectives and policyEconomic growth

Examiner insight

What to cover
Falling real income cuts purchasing power, so consumption falls and saving may be run down. Demand shifts toward inferior goods and away from normal and luxury goods.
Evaluation
Weigh the size and duration of the fall. Low income households are hit hardest. Consumers may borrow or use savings, so consumption falls by less than income.
Watch out
Confusing nominal income with real income, so the effect of inflation on purchasing power is missed.
Q6(c)Explain5 marks
With reference to Extract A, explain the likely effect of a rise in the value of the pound on aggregate demand.
Mark splitKnowledge 1Application 2Analysis 2

TopicAggregate demand

Examiner insight

What to cover
A stronger pound makes UK exports dearer abroad and imports cheaper. Exports fall and imports rise, so net exports fall and aggregate demand shifts left. Use Extract A.
Diagram
Aggregate demand and aggregate supply with AD shifting left from AD1 to AD2, real output and the price level both falling.
Watch out
Writing the exchange rate effect the wrong way round, so exports are said to rise.
Q6(d)Explain6 marks
With reference to the data, explain two likely reasons for the UK’s falling inflation rate.
Mark splitKnowledge 2Application 2Analysis 2

TopicMeasures of economic performance

Examiner insight

What to cover
Use the data. Give two causes, such as falling oil and commodity prices cutting firms' costs, and a stronger pound lowering import prices. Explain each as a cost push or demand pull effect.
Watch out
Saying prices are falling when a lower inflation rate means prices still rise, only more slowly.
Q6(e)15 marks
With reference to Extracts A and B and your own knowledge, discuss whether the MPC should be concerned about the risk of deflation in the UK economy.
Mark splitKnowledge 3Application 3Analysis 3Evaluation 6

TopicMeasures of economic performance

Examiner insight

What to cover
Define deflation as a sustained fall in the price level. Falling prices delay spending, raise the real value of debt and cut aggregate demand, pushing inflation below the 2 per cent target.
Diagram
Aggregate demand and aggregate supply with AD shifting left, the price level falling below target and real output falling.
Evaluation
Separate benign supply side deflation from cheaper oil, which raises real incomes, from damaging demand side deflation. Weigh whether the fall is temporary. Reach a judgement.
Watch out
Treating every fall in prices as harmful without separating supply side from demand side causes.
Q6(f)Evaluate20 marks
Evaluate whether the MPC has been successful in controlling the UK’s inflation rate since 2011.
Mark splitKnowledge 4Application 4Analysis 6Evaluation 6

TopicMeasures of economic performance

Examiner insight

What to cover
Compare CPI inflation with the 2 per cent target across the period using the data. Explain how Bank Rate and quantitative easing work through borrowing, spending and aggregate demand to prices.
Diagram
Aggregate demand and aggregate supply with AD shifting right after looser monetary policy, raising the price level toward target and raising real output.
Evaluation
Weigh years on target against years off it, and note oil prices and the exchange rate moved inflation for reasons outside MPC control. Allow for time lags. Judge.
Watch out
Listing inflation figures without linking them to the target or to MPC decisions.
Q6(g)OptionalEvaluate20 marks
Evaluate demand-side policy responses to the Global Financial Crisis of 2008.
Mark splitKnowledge 4Application 4Analysis 6Evaluation 6

TopicMacroeconomic objectives and policy

Examiner insight

What to cover
Cover the cut in Bank Rate to near zero, quantitative easing and fiscal stimulus. Explain each through cheaper borrowing, higher consumption and investment, the multiplier and aggregate demand.
Diagram
Aggregate demand and aggregate supply with AD shifting right from AD1 to AD2, real output rising and the negative output gap closing.
Evaluation
Weigh the recovery in output and employment against weak transmission at very low interest rates, higher public debt, asset price inflation and wider inequality. Judge overall.
Watch out
Narrating what happened in the crisis instead of evaluating whether the policies worked.

Question text is quoted from the question papers, © Pearson Edexcel, for students’ private study. Open the official papers and mark schemes from the links on each question. Examiner insights are written with AI assistance and moderated by Finn.