Paper 2: The UK Economy – Performance and Policies · 8EC0/02

Edexcel A AS Paper 2, June 2023

All 14 written questions and 5 multiple choice questions from Edexcel A AS Paper 2 (June 2023), The UK Economy – Performance and Policies. Case studies: UK balance of trade and inflation. Each question shows its marks and topic, with an examiner insight on 6, and opens the question paper and mark scheme at the right page.

Section A

Q3(a)1 mark
Which one of the following can be deduced from the above chart?
  1. ACorporation tax revenue is higher than excise duties
  2. BIncome tax raises less revenue than Value Added Tax (VAT)
  3. CT ax revenue from business rates contributes to approximately 3% of
  4. DTax revenue from National Insurance contributions is five times
Show the answer

The answer is C.

Q3(b)3 marks
Total UK Government tax revenue for 2021–22: £820 billion. Total UK Government expenditure for 2021–22: £1 053 billion. Using these figures, explain the likely impact of the above data on the UK Government’s budget balance.
Mark splitKnowledge 1Application 1Analysis 1
Q5(a)1 mark
Which one of the following can be deduced from the chart?
  1. AIn Q4 2020 the level of real GDP fell by 16.1 percentage points
  2. BThe price level was rising at a slower rate between Q1 2019 and
  3. CThe UK economy experienced a boom between Q3 2019 and Q1 2020
  4. DThe UK economy experienced a recession in the first six months
Show the answer

The answer is D.

TopicEconomic growthMeasures of economic performance

Section B

Case study

UK balance of trade and inflation

Extracts: A: Balance of trade in goods and services · B: Inflation

In the extracts: MPC, Bank of England Monetary, Policy Committee, Inflation, Transport, Consumer, Guardian, Balance, Rising, CPI

Q6(b)Explain5 marks
With reference to Figure 2, explain how the CPI inflation rate is measured. Refer to the concept of weights in your answer.
Mark splitKnowledge 1Application 2Analysis 2

TopicMeasures of economic performance

Examiner insight

What to cover
Describe the survey of household spending that sets the basket, monthly price collection, and weighting each item by its share of spending. The annual change in the index is the inflation rate. Use Figure 2.
Watch out
Weights must be explained as shares of household spending, not as an unweighted average of price changes.
Q6(c)10 marks
With reference to Extract A, assess the likely impact of a rise in the value of exports on the UK economy.

TopicMeasures of economic performanceMacroeconomic objectives and policy

Examiner insight

What to cover
Higher export revenue raises net trade, so AD shifts right. The multiplier raises real GDP and employment and the trade balance improves. Use the figures in Extract A.
Diagram
AD/AS: AD shifts right. Label price level, real GDP and both equilibria.
Evaluation
Depends on what happens to imports, on the size of exports relative to GDP and on spare capacity. Inflation may rise if the economy is near capacity.
Watch out
A rise in export value may be higher prices rather than more goods sold, so check volume.
Q6(d)Explain6 marks
With reference to Extract B, explain two reasons for the increase in the rate of UK inflation.

TopicMeasures of economic performanceMacroeconomic objectives and policy

Examiner insight

What to cover
Give two developed reasons from Extract B, such as higher global energy and commodity prices, a weaker pound raising import costs, or recovering demand meeting supply shortages.
Watch out
Each reason must be traced through to the price level; naming energy prices alone is not an explanation.
Q6(e)Discuss15 marks
Discuss the likely economic effects of the high rate of UK inflation on consumers and workers.
Mark splitKnowledge 3Application 3Analysis 3Evaluation 6

TopicMeasures of economic performanceMacroeconomic objectives and policy

Examiner insight

What to cover
For consumers, show falling real incomes, lost purchasing power and eroded savings. For workers, show real wage cuts, wage demands and the risk to jobs as firms face higher costs.
Evaluation
Weigh losers against gainers: borrowers gain, savers lose, and workers with strong bargaining power keep pace. Depends on whether wages match prices and on how long inflation lasts.
Watch out
Both consumers and workers must be covered; an answer on only one group cannot reach the top level.
Q6(f)OptionalEvaluate20 marks
Evaluate the main influences on the UK’s net trade balance.
Mark splitKnowledge 4Application 4Analysis 6Evaluation 6

TopicMeasures of economic performanceMacroeconomic objectives and policy

Examiner insight

What to cover
Explain the main influences on exports minus imports: the exchange rate, relative inflation and competitiveness, real incomes at home and abroad, productivity, and non-price factors such as quality.
Evaluation
Judge which influence dominates for the UK. Depends on the Marshall-Lerner condition, the elasticity of demand for exports and imports, the J-curve and the time period.
Watch out
Net trade is exports minus imports, so both sides must be explained, not exports alone.
Q6(g)OptionalEvaluate20 marks
Evaluate how interest rates are used to control UK inflation.
Mark splitKnowledge 4Application 4Analysis 6Evaluation 6

TopicMacroeconomic objectives and policy

Examiner insight

What to cover
Explain the transmission of a Bank Rate rise through borrowing, saving, wealth, confidence and the exchange rate. Consumption and investment fall, AD shifts left and demand-pull inflation eases.
Diagram
AD/AS: AD shifts left after a rate rise. Label the lower price level and the lower real GDP.
Evaluation
Weak against cost-push and imported inflation. Depends on time lags of up to two years, on confidence, on how low rates already are, and on the cost in lost growth.
Watch out
Bank Rate is not the inflation target, and banks may not pass a rate change on in full.

Question text is quoted from the question papers, © Pearson Edexcel, for students’ private study. Open the official papers and mark schemes from the links on each question. Examiner insights are written with AI assistance and moderated by Finn.