National and International Economy · 7136/2

AQA A-level Paper 2, June 2018

All 14 written questions from AQA A-level Paper 2 (June 2018), National and International Economy. Case studies: The UK’s trade balance and Monetary policy and stability. Each question shows its marks and topic, with an examiner insight on 10, and opens the question paper and mark scheme at the right page.

Context 1

The UK’s trade balance

Extracts: The UK’s trade deficit · Germany’s trade surplus

Q3Explain9 marks
Extract C (lines 8–9) states ‘Trade deficits and surpluses may be self- correcting in a floating exchange rate system.’
With the help of a diagram showing the supply of and demand for a currency, explain how a floating exchange rate may help to correct a trade surplus.

TopicThe international economyTrade & comparative advantageExchange rates

Examiner insight

What to cover
A trade surplus means high demand for the currency, so it appreciates. Exports become dearer and imports cheaper, which reduces the surplus.
Diagram
Currency market diagram: demand for the currency shifts right, exchange rate rises.
Watch out
The question asks for a diagram showing supply of and demand for the currency. Use the correct axes.
Q4Assess25 marks
Extract B (lines 19–21) states ‘Although some argue that a current account deficit is not a problem, others point to the worryingly large and persistent nature of the deficit.’
Using the data in the extracts and your knowledge of economics, assess the impact of a persistent current account deficit on the macroeconomic performance of the UK economy.

TopicThe international economyBalance of payments

Examiner insight

What to cover
A persistent deficit can mean weak competitiveness, rising foreign debt and pressure on the exchange rate.
Diagram
AD/AS diagram with lower net exports.
Evaluation
Consider how it is financed (FDI inflows), whether it reflects strong consumer demand, and the floating pound. Judge using the extract data.
Watch out
Show understanding that the deficit can be sustainable.

Context 2

Monetary policy and stability

Extracts: Financial regulation and monetary policy · A new financial crisis?

Q7Explain9 marks
Extract E (lines 16–17) states ‘However, some argue that trying to maintain stable prices and low unemployment could create trade-offs.’
With the help of a diagram, explain why a trade-off between price stability and low unemployment might occur.

TopicEconomic performanceUnemploymentMacro objectives & conflicts

Examiner insight

What to cover
Lower unemployment means a tighter labour market, so wages rise faster. Higher costs push up prices. To cut inflation, AD must fall, which raises unemployment.
Diagram
Short-run Phillips curve.
Watch out
Explain the cause, not just the curve.
Q8Evaluate25 marks
Extract F (lines 10–12) states ‘The Austrian economist, Friedrich Hayek, highlighted artificially low interest rates and excessive credit creation as being the main causes of cyclical instability.’
Using the data in the extracts and your knowledge of economics, evaluate the view that maintaining low interest rates for a sustained period of time may be damaging to the UK’s macroeconomic stability.

TopicFinancial markets and monetary policyMonetary policy & interest rates

Examiner insight

What to cover
Low rates for long periods can cause asset bubbles, excess credit and debt, and little room to cut in a downturn.
Diagram
AD/AS diagram.
Evaluation
Low rates also support growth, jobs and investment. Judge by inflation expectations and financial regulation.
Watch out
Use Hayek's point from the extract.
Q9Essay 1Explain15 marks
Explain the main barriers that LEDCs face when attempting to achieve stable, long-term economic growth.
Essay stimulus. An African Development Bank report showed that Angola received more direct foreign investment than any other African country in 2015. Angola is a less economically developed country (LEDC) that has had fluctuating economic growth in the past. Despite having suffered from a long civil war which ended in 2002, many multinational corporations (MNCs) are now investing heavily in Angola’s growing economy.

TopicThe international economyDevelopmentEconomic growth & cycle

Examiner insight

What to cover
Barriers to stable growth in LEDCs: poor infrastructure, low human capital, corruption and weak institutions, dependence on primary products with volatile prices, debt, capital flight and political instability.
Watch out
Explain why each barrier affects stable, long-term growth.
Q10Essay 1Evaluate25 marks
Evaluate the view that MNCs play a positive role in the development of LEDCs.
Essay stimulus. An African Development Bank report showed that Angola received more direct foreign investment than any other African country in 2015. Angola is a less economically developed country (LEDC) that has had fluctuating economic growth in the past. Despite having suffered from a long civil war which ended in 2002, many multinational corporations (MNCs) are now investing heavily in Angola’s growing economy.

TopicThe international economyGlobalisationDevelopment

Examiner insight

What to cover
MNCs bring FDI, jobs, technology transfer, skills and tax revenue.
Evaluation
They may repatriate profits, avoid tax, exploit workers, damage the environment and crowd out local firms. Judge by regulation, type of investment and the host country's bargaining power.
Watch out
Use real examples.
Q11Essay 2Explain15 marks
Explain how fiscal policy can be used to try to improve the supply side of an economy.
Essay stimulus. In the 2016 Autumn statement, the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, Philip Hammond, officially abandoned the government’s policy of trying to achieve a budget surplus by 2020. While some criticise the government for failing to achieve its fiscal target, others argue that the government should be doing more to help the supply side of the economy.

TopicFiscal policy and supply-side policiesFiscal policy & public financesSupply-side policies

Examiner insight

What to cover
Supply-side fiscal policy: lower income tax to raise the incentive to work, lower corporation tax to raise investment, spending on education, training, infrastructure and research.
Diagram
LRAS shifting right.
Watch out
Explain how each measure increases productive capacity.
Q12Essay 2Evaluate25 marks
Evaluate whether achieving a budget surplus is a desirable objective of economic policy.
Essay stimulus. In the 2016 Autumn statement, the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, Philip Hammond, officially abandoned the government’s policy of trying to achieve a budget surplus by 2020. While some criticise the government for failing to achieve its fiscal target, others argue that the government should be doing more to help the supply side of the economy.

TopicFiscal policy and supply-side policiesFiscal policy & public financesMacro objectives & conflicts

Examiner insight

What to cover
A budget surplus reduces national debt and interest payments, and creates room to spend in a downturn.
Diagram
AD/AS diagram.
Evaluation
Running a surplus in a slowdown reduces AD and growth. Judge by the stage of the economic cycle and the level of debt.
Watch out
Link the answer to the state of the economy.
Q13Essay 3Explain15 marks
Explain the causes of cyclical and structural unemployment.
Essay stimulus. In July 2017, more people were employed in the UK than ever before. At the same time, the UK unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, the lowest rate for 40 years. Whilst this suggests that the government’s policies for employment are working, some claim that zero-hours contracts, low real wages and temporary jobs have made many people worse off.

TopicEconomic performanceUnemployment

Examiner insight

What to cover
Cyclical unemployment comes from a fall in AD in a downturn. Structural unemployment comes from long-term changes in industries and a mismatch of skills or location.
Diagram
AD/AS diagram for cyclical; labour market or LRAS for structural.
Watch out
Explain both types with real examples.
Q14Essay 3Assess25 marks
Assess the view that falling unemployment will inevitably lead to an improvement in the standard of living for people in the UK.
Essay stimulus. In July 2017, more people were employed in the UK than ever before. At the same time, the UK unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, the lowest rate for 40 years. Whilst this suggests that the government’s policies for employment are working, some claim that zero-hours contracts, low real wages and temporary jobs have made many people worse off.

TopicEconomic performanceUnemploymentLiving standards & wellbeing

Examiner insight

What to cover
Falling unemployment raises incomes, wellbeing and tax revenue.
Evaluation
Living standards may not rise if jobs are low paid, part-time or insecure, or if real wages fall. Judge using the stimulus on zero-hours contracts.
Watch out
Define standard of living before you judge.

Question text is quoted from the question papers, © AQA, for students’ private study. Open the official papers and mark schemes from the links on each question. Examiner insights are written with AI assistance and moderated by Finn.