National and International Economy · 7136/2

AQA A-level Paper 2, June 2017

All 14 written questions from AQA A-level Paper 2 (June 2017), National and International Economy. Case studies: Economic development in India and Inflation, deflation and economic policy. Each question shows its marks and topic, with an examiner insight on 10, and opens the question paper and mark scheme at the right page.

Context 1

Economic development in India

Extracts: Is India still a developing country? · ‘Make in India’ – the road to development?

Q3Explain9 marks
Extract B (lines 17–19) states ‘India still protects its economy with anti-dumping measures and export subsidies that are designed to promote economic growth.’
With the help of a diagram, explain how export subsidies may help promote economic growth in India.

TopicThe international economyProtectionism & trading blocsEconomic growth & cycle

Examiner insight

What to cover
Export subsidies lower the price of Indian exports abroad, so export volumes rise. Higher net exports raise aggregate demand and real GDP.
Diagram
AD/AS diagram with AD shifting right (or a subsidy diagram in the export market).
Watch out
Link the chain to growth: subsidy, cheaper exports, higher X minus M, higher AD, higher real output.
Q4Evaluate25 marks
Extract C (lines 2–3) states ‘More recently, India has begun to use more market-based strategies to help its development, including liberalising trade and privatisation.’
Using the data in the extracts and your knowledge of economics, evaluate the view that greater use of market-based strategies is the best way to improve the economic development of India.

TopicThe international economyDevelopment

Examiner insight

What to cover
Market-based strategies: trade liberalisation, privatisation, FDI, microfinance, removal of subsidies.
Evaluation
Compare with interventionist strategies (infrastructure, education, protection of infant industries). Judge by India's data, inequality, corruption and time period.
Watch out
"Best way" needs a comparison. Use India's data on poverty, growth and HDI.

Context 2

Inflation, deflation and economic policy

Extracts: Good and bad deflation · The Japanese problem

Q7Explain9 marks
Extract E (lines 9–10) states ‘Improvements in productivity on the supply side of the economy could actually lead to more deflation.’
With the help of a diagram, explain how improvements in productivity could cause deflation.

TopicEconomic performanceInflation & deflationAggregate supply

Examiner insight

What to cover
Higher productivity lowers unit costs, shifting SRAS and LRAS right. The price level falls while real output rises: benign deflation.
Diagram
AD/AS diagram with SRAS and LRAS shifting right and the price level falling.
Watch out
Explain why this deflation is "good": output grows as prices fall.
Q8Evaluate25 marks
Extract F (lines 19–20) states ‘What is not clear is what should be done if low inflation turns to bad deflation.’
Using the data in the extracts and your knowledge of economics, evaluate the view that monetary policy is the most effective way of tackling deflation in developed economies such as the UK and Japan.

TopicEconomic performanceInflation & deflationMonetary policy & interest rates

Examiner insight

What to cover
Monetary policy can cut interest rates and use QE to raise AD and inflation expectations.
Diagram
AD/AS diagram with AD shifting right.
Evaluation
Limits: zero lower bound, liquidity trap, weak confidence (Japan). Compare with fiscal policy and supply-side measures. Judge by type of deflation.
Watch out
Separate good deflation (supply-side) from bad deflation (demand-side). The right policy depends on the cause.
Q9Essay 1Explain15 marks
Explain how government policies can reduce the natural rate of unemployment.
Essay stimulus. Between 2011 and 2016, UK unemployment fell from a high of 8.5% to 4.8%. Some argue that government attempts to reduce unemployment inevitably lead to trade-offs with other macroeconomic policy objectives.

TopicEconomic performanceUnemploymentSupply-side policies

Examiner insight

What to cover
The natural rate falls when frictional and structural unemployment fall: training, better job information, labour mobility, benefit reform, flexible labour markets.
Diagram
LRAS shift right, or labour market diagram.
Watch out
Keep the focus on supply-side policies. Demand-side policy does not change the natural rate.
Q10Essay 1Discuss25 marks
Discuss the view that falling unemployment will inevitably lead to trade-offs with other macroeconomic policy objectives.
Essay stimulus. Between 2011 and 2016, UK unemployment fell from a high of 8.5% to 4.8%. Some argue that government attempts to reduce unemployment inevitably lead to trade-offs with other macroeconomic policy objectives.

TopicEconomic performanceUnemploymentMacro objectives & conflicts

Examiner insight

What to cover
Falling unemployment can raise inflation (Phillips curve), widen the current account deficit and increase inequality pressure.
Diagram
Short-run Phillips curve.
Evaluation
Trade-offs are not inevitable: supply-side growth, spare capacity, the long-run Phillips curve, low global inflation. Judge using recent UK experience.
Watch out
"Inevitably" invites a clear counter-argument.
Q11Essay 2Explain15 marks
Explain the possible reasons for changes in the pattern of trade between the UK and the rest of the world.
Essay stimulus. The UK has seen significant changes in its pattern of trade with the rest of the world in terms of what we trade and with whom. The UK’s current account deficit widened from £29.1bn in 2011 to £100.2bn in 2015. The deficit in 2015 was 5.4% of GDP, the largest annual deficit as a percentage of GDP since records began in 1948.

TopicThe international economyTrade & comparative advantage

Examiner insight

What to cover
Changes in the pattern of UK trade come from shifts in comparative advantage, the growth of emerging economies, exchange rates, trade agreements and EU exit, relative inflation, and the move from manufacturing to services.
Watch out
Use real examples, such as the growth of trade with China.
Q12Essay 2Evaluate25 marks
Evaluate the measures that might be taken to reduce a deficit on the current account of the UK’s balance of payments.
Essay stimulus. The UK has seen significant changes in its pattern of trade with the rest of the world in terms of what we trade and with whom. The UK’s current account deficit widened from £29.1bn in 2011 to £100.2bn in 2015. The deficit in 2015 was 5.4% of GDP, the largest annual deficit as a percentage of GDP since records began in 1948.

TopicThe international economyBalance of payments

Examiner insight

What to cover
Measures: expenditure-switching (depreciation, protection) and expenditure-reducing (contractionary fiscal and monetary policy), and supply-side policies.
Diagram
AD/AS diagram, or currency market diagram.
Evaluation
Judge each by side effects (lower growth, retaliation, inflation), time lags and the Marshall-Lerner condition.
Watch out
A current account deficit is not always a problem. Say when it matters.
Q13Essay 3Explain15 marks
Explain how changes in both government spending and taxation might affect the level of economic activity.
Essay stimulus. The Government has ruled out the possibility of a rise in VAT before 2020 but other indirect taxes may increase. It has also stated that the personal income tax allowance will be increased from £10 800 in 2015/16 to £12 500 by 2020, and plans to cut the main rate of corporation tax from 20% to 17%.

TopicFiscal policy and supply-side policiesFiscal policy & public finances

Examiner insight

What to cover
Higher government spending adds directly to AD. Lower taxes raise disposable income and profits, so consumption and investment rise. The multiplier increases the final effect. The reverse reduces activity.
Diagram
AD/AS diagram with AD shifting.
Watch out
Cover both spending and taxation, and mention the multiplier.
Q14Essay 3Evaluate25 marks
Evaluate the economic consequences for the UK economy of a significant shift in the burden of taxation from direct taxes to indirect taxes.
Essay stimulus. The Government has ruled out the possibility of a rise in VAT before 2020 but other indirect taxes may increase. It has also stated that the personal income tax allowance will be increased from £10 800 in 2015/16 to £12 500 by 2020, and plans to cut the main rate of corporation tax from 20% to 17%.

TopicFiscal policy and supply-side policiesFiscal policy & public finances

Examiner insight

What to cover
Indirect taxes are regressive, can raise inflation, but may improve incentives to work and save.
Diagram
AD/AS diagram, SRAS shift from higher indirect taxes.
Evaluation
Judge by effect on inequality, incentives, tax revenue and inflation.
Watch out
Explain direct versus indirect taxes clearly.

Question text is quoted from the question papers, © AQA, for students’ private study. Open the official papers and mark schemes from the links on each question. Examiner insights are written with AI assistance and moderated by Finn.